Domestic crude steel mixed seamless steel tube May rolled steel day all crop annulus drops than all, but in June day of crude steel of business of key of the first ten days of a month all crop annulus is compared pick up once more, profession show enterprise of level iron and steel to be in respect of reduction of output still relatively hesitate, to assure share of market of seamless steel tube and capital flow to still be maintained in gnash one's teeth produce, market supply pressure not slow down. Nothing more than now of look forward to of current home steel already turned into entire industry to be in an unfavorable situation, sectional steel look forward to ton steel is in an unfavorable situation to already spanned even 300 yuan ton, promulgate the steel that publishs overhaul of reduction of output since the last ten-day of a month in June increasing already, willow steel, horse steel, , , the blast furnace of profiled bar of the eve of the lunar New Year such as An Gang arranges the overhaul thick and fast, followed what pressure still shifts in year to alleviate July, dimensions of estimation steel reduction in production will relatively move enlarge the eve of the lunar New Year, market supply pressure also hopeful is all slow down. From the point of cost level, entrance mine price is maintained this month strong, overall look than coming the eve of the lunar New Year of price of 3 months steel dropped 16% , mine price however the eve of the lunar New Year rose 27% , domestic steely company already appeared area of the eve of the lunar New Year to be in an unfavorable situation, advance even limit with look forward to of steel of branch of plan of cost of newest raw material display had done not have. But those who be worth to pay attention to is to be below the situation that function of expedite channel reservoir is short of, inventory and capital pressure already transformed steely company slowly, business of seamless steel tube is slack cost marry again, bid fund can get used to the market to adjust only, cost props up strength to steel price still finite. Than last mine steel went in March situation express disparate, steely company already turned into entire industry to be in an unfavorable situation, steel reduction in production is imperative already July, and abroad June mine delivers goods slowly grow in quantity, rate of homebred mine start working also rises somewhat, price of later period mine will face pressure of inevitable be issued to lower levels. Coal anxious respect suffers steel to be hit continuously pressure reach Australia to export custom duty of Chinese coking coal to reduce benefit sky to affect, appraise valuation money will last weak force moves. And from the point of steel environment, current although steel is in an unfavorable situation serious, but fall in ostentation and extravagance of circumstance of losing of function of expedite link reservoir, steel inventory and capital pressure still are adding the eve of the lunar New Year, price of later period seamless steel tube will still follow to fluctuate and be adjusted from market price money. On the whole, cost of estimation next month will be given priority to with be being reduced all. In economy low below confused circumstance ostentation and extravagance, near future the State Council is given out firm increase urgent your, continuously standing conference is quickening 3 weeks of the State Council the decoration is firm add policy. Include clear advance financial capital to use method as a whole, increase scope of key of the eve of the lunar New Year useful investment, give up carry out old 75% put borrow wait than red line. Ministries and commissions of each the eve of the lunar New Year also is in be in an emergency walking, hair of seamless steel tube changes appoint quicken give an official of capital construction project, enterprise of intercurrent article license borrows new debt old still; Financial department is promulgated publish make known to lower levels displacement of bond of authorities of the 2nd batch of 1 trillion yuan of location puts capacity amount of debt to spend; The Central Bank restarts go against counter-purchase and the eve of the lunar New Year next recall buy interest rate; Etc. In economy have not before ecru look forward to is firm, authorities each loose policy still will continue to raise the price of the commodities, will conduce to economic look forward to firm and carry brace up decision belief. The writer is young I am right finally price of steel of the whorl on portion Shanghai went in July 2015 situation make guess below: The circumstance ostentation and extravagance that presents mine strong steel to lose continuously than coming to city of steel of 3 months home, steel is in an unfavorable situation swift spread the eve of the lunar New Year, the eve of the lunar New Year of enlarge of dimensions of reduction in production of later period steel is imperative already. And current certain investment already was become firm addition stay point, the policy of a series of wide finance affairs comes on stage thick and fast, policy effect will slowly flash. In addition, follow steel price to drop to historical records low, sectional businesan thinks risk already not the eve of the lunar New Year, at first the plan adds strength of filling library of the eve of the lunar New Year, will restrain steel price drops space. Reckon domestic seamless steel tube will be shown July after dropping, rebound, overall shake go up situation.